Venezuela's once impressive medical system has crumbled dramatically. But it's hard to know exactly how bad things are — because the Ministry of Health stopped releasing national health data,

"There has been a strict secrecy policy in public institutions in Venezuela ... since 2012," says Jenny Garcia, a demographer from Venezuela now living in Paris. The government hasn't wanted to release health statistics that are simply going to make it look bad, Garcia says.

Statistics that have come out show that all the basic parameters of health in Venezuela have been moving ominously in the wrong direction for the last decade. Rates of malnutrition and HIV are rising, there are new outbreaks of of preventable diseases like diphtheria. Infant mortality, which Garcia has been tracking, is on the rise.

Using estimates from census data and hospital death reports Garcia and her colleagues just published a new study on rising infant mortality in Venezuela in the journal Lancet Global Health. "But the mortality estimates [from the government] haven't been updated or publicly available since 2012," she says.

So Garcia and her colleagues had to piece together infant mortality estimates from census data and hospital death reports. Infant mortality, the death rate for children under the age of 1, is widely viewed as a barometer of a nation's overall health.

Garcia's study found that the infant mortality rate is now 21.1 deaths per 1,000 births, up from 15 deaths per 1,000 births in 2008. That's far above the average infant death rate for Latin America and comparable to the country's infant mortality rate in the 1990s.

"This is shocking," she says. "I mean we have lost 18 years of progress in infant mortality. It is shocking."

It's shocking for many reasons. First Venezuela is a relatively rich nation. It has the largest oil reserves in the world. (Yes, even more than Saudi Arabia!). Three decades ago president Hugo Chavez promised free universal health care in the South American nation and made significant strides toward delivering it. In 2010 the UN announced that Venezuela had met most of the Millennium Development Goals – a set of measures for basic social progress. The country slashed its extreme poverty rate from 30 percent of the population in 2003 to 7.2 percent in 2009. The Chavez administration wiped out measles in 2007 through a nationwide vaccination campaign. People with HIV got anti-AIDS medications for free through the public health care system. From a public health perspective Venezuela's future was looking bright.

But now under an economic and political crisis that started in the late 2000s and has worsened since Nicolas Maduro became president in 2013, all of that has changed dramatically. Last year hyperinflation zoomed to somewhere between 80,000 percent and 1,000,000 percent depending on whether you go with the Forbes estimate or the IMF.

Millions of Venezuelans have fled the country since Maduro took office. Late last year, Dr. Kathleen Page, an infectious disease specialist at Johns Hopkins Medical School, visited border towns in northern Brazil that are now hosting tens of thousands of migrants. Page, who is originally from Uruguay, says the local Brazilian hospitals are overwhelmed with incredibly sick people. In the HIV wards she felt as if she was stepping back in time to the early days of the AIDS crisis.

"I was not a doctor in the 1980s when the AIDS epidemic started. But I know what happened and I felt that in these wards I was going back to the 1980s," Page says.

"People were basically dying of opportunistic infections. They were emaciated, dying of chronic diarrhea, infections in their brain — things that we know are treatable and preventable. And to give credit to the Brazilian doctors, they were doing everything they could to help people but the hospitals were at capacity."

She traveled to the Brazilian/Venezuelan border as part of a fact-finding trip for Human Rights Watch.

"I interviewed over 100 people crossing the border and I would ask them 'Why did you come?'" She says. "Ubiquitously the answer was food or health care."

Many people told her they'd been surviving for months in Venezuela on a diet only of yucca, a rugged shrub that has a potato-like root.

The resurgence of measles is another sign of the country's backsliding in public health. After having wiped out measles more than a decade ago, last year the country was hit by a major outbreak of the disease that's sickened more than 9,000 and, according to the U.N., resulted in the death of at least 74 Venezuelans in 2018. Officials with the Pan American Health Association has also linked measles outbreaks in nine other countries in the region to strains of the virus circulating to Venezuela.

"One of the things that I think is notable," Page says. "is that Venezuela had made incredible progress in terms of many of the public health markers that we care about. Infant mortality, maternal mortality, malaria control, all these things had really gone in the right direction for Venezuela for many years and then starting in the late 2000s things started to decline."

Now she says the health care system in the South American nation has completely collapsed.

Page says Venezuelan patients she met at the border with Brazil told her that the hospitals in Venezuela had run out of all of the most basic supplies. Some no longer had running water or electricity to sterilize equipment.

"It was really shocking talking to these patients," Page says. Patients who needed medical care were told by the hospital staff that they had to find all their own surgical supplies. "You have to buy your own gloves, you have to buy your own syringes, you have to bring everything in," Page says. "But even buying gloves and syringes becomes impossibly expensive because of inflation in the black market."

Page was really struck by one mother met a woman who'd just come out of Venezuela with her 10-year-old daughter. The girl is in a wheelchair and needs a catheter.

"They had been using the same catheter for a year. These catheters are supposed to be changed every time you use them," Page says. The girl had developed a kidney infection, and they couldn't get any antibiotics . "So they actually pushed her 200 miles across the border," she says.

Two hundred miles on foot for a catheter and some antibiotics.

Page says the health conditions she saw among the Venezuelans were startling particularly given Venezuela's reputation as a relatively wealth Latin American country. And these refugees weren't fleeing a war zone.

"The devastation that you're seeing is not war. It's mismanagement, poor economic decisions. It's corruption," she says. "There is a lot of complicated factors but it's totally man-made."

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