You will likely pay more to heat your home this winter than you did last winter, the federal government says.

The yearly winter fuels outlook report from the U.S. Energy Information Administration finds higher fuel prices and a colder weather forecast than last year will add up to an increase in heating costs.

NPR's Jeff Brady reports natural gas prices have a particularly big effect because nearly half of American households rely on it for heat:

"The Energy Information Administration projects gas bills will rise more than 20 percent. Your overall bill will depend on where you live. The agency reports that an entire winter's worth of natural gas heating for the average home will be $635."In the Northeast it will be nearly $900 [because] pipeline bottlenecks have pushed up prices in the region. Gas is still the cheapest fuel to heat with. Electricity costs about a third more [and] heating with oil or propane is expected to cost at least twice as much as natural gas this winter."

The Energy Information Administration says natural gas is the most common space heating fuel in every region except the South, where electric heating is more prevalent, and that heating oil is much more common in the Northeast than in other regions.

The report says warm weather last winter resulted in the lowest national heating demand in at least 25 years. The winter fuels outlook included the following predictions for weather this winter across the U.S.:

"Temperatures this winter, based on the most recent forecast of heating degree days (from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), are expected to be much colder than last winter east of the Rocky Mountains, with the Northeast and Midwest 17 percent colder and the South 18 percent colder. ... In the West, temperatures are forecast to be about 2 percent warmer than last winter."

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