Polling The 10th: How The Numbers Break Down

By Jess Bidgood

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Oct. 18, 2010

Just over two weeks before Election Day, an exclusive WGBH poll of the 10th Congressional District shows a dead heat between Democratic candidate Bill Keating and Republican Candidate Jeff Perry.

Among the same voters, 56 percent have a favorable view of President Barack Obama and they narrowly support Question 3 (to reduce the state’s sales tax), 49 percent in favor, 43 percent opposed.

The same poll shows that 48 percent of 10th District voters have an unfavorable view of Independent gubernatorial candidate Tim Cahill. 

These results are based on a poll of 400 likely voters in the Massachusetts 10th Congressional District, conducted October 13-15, 2010 by the MassINC Polling Group. Live telephone interviews were conducted via both landline and cell phone. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.9 percent with a 95 percent level of confidence.

See how the numbers break down:



10th District Congressional Race Final Vote Preference (With Leaners)

If the November general election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you vote for Democrat Bill Keating, Republican Jeff Perry, or some other candidate? If undecided, which way do you lean?




Overall Favorability Of Voters' Views Toward Each Candidate

Tell me if you have a very favorable view, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable view of the following person. If you don't recognize the name, please just say so.




Voting Preference Of Unenrolled Voters

If the November general election for U.S. Congress were held today, would you vote for Democrat Bill Keating, Republican Jeff Perry, or some other candidate? If undecided, which way do you lean? (Shows results for unenrolled voters only.)




Vote On Question 3

As you may know, Question 3 on the November ballot is a proposal to reduce the Massachusetts state sales tax from 6.25 percent to 3 percent. If the election were being held today, would you vote "yes" to reduce the sales tax to 3 percent, or would you vote "no" to keep the sales tax at 6.25 percent?




Favorability: Overall

I'm going to read the names of several people and groups who are active in public affairs. After I read each one, please tell me if you have a very favorable view, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable view of the person or group. If you don't recognize the name, please say so.



More:

WGBH poll shows dead heat in 10th

Mass Decision 2010

WGBH POLL SHOWS DEAD HEAT IN 10TH DISTRICT
FULL POLL RESULTS

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